Antonio Williams went in the second round of the NFL draft to Washington. The dynasty community has him sitting at 2.01 in rookie drafts. That is too low. He is a fair 1.11 in Superflex and a clean 1.12 in 1QB. The path is in his favor, the depth chart is in his favor, and the price reflects neither.
The player
Williams is 21, 6-foot-2, 195 pounds, ran a 4.45 at the combine. He played three years at North Carolina, caught 167 balls over his career, and had a senior season of 1,140 yards and 12 touchdowns. He profiles as an outside receiver with above-average release skills and strong contested-catch numbers. He is not a burner, but he is not slow.
His draft profile is exactly the kind of WR2 archetype that historically hits at a much higher rate than the first-round receivers in the same class. Second-round receivers from the last decade have produced more dynasty starters than first-round receivers from the same era. The market does not price this correctly because round one feels like a quality stamp.
The landing spot
Washington spent the 2024 first overall pick on a quarterback (Jayden Daniels, on his rookie deal through 2027). The current receiver room is Terry McLaurin and a rotating cast of fourth and fifth options. McLaurin is 31, on the final year of his contract with no guarantees beyond 2026, and unlikely to be on the roster in 2027.
Williams is the answer to the McLaurin replacement question. He gets year one as the WR3 behind McLaurin and a slot receiver, then steps into the WR1 outside role at 22 in 2027. That role caught 96 balls in 2025. The volume exists. The opening exists. Williams is the next guy in line.
The math
The lib/tradeValue engine has Williams at 67 in Superflex. That places him as WR48 overall. Conservative for a 21-year-old with this path. The realistic range by Halloween is WR35-WR40 as Washington tips its hand on the McLaurin succession plan.
The quarterback math
Jayden Daniels is the part that pulls this together. He is 25, on a rookie contract through 2027 with the option year through 2028, and produced top-eight QB numbers last season. The Washington passing offense is going to be funded for the next four years.
Williams catches passes from a 25-year-old top-12 quarterback for the entirety of his rookie deal. That is a four-year guaranteed environment. Very few rookie receivers can claim that. The ones who can are usually going at 1.05 and up.
What can go wrong
The risk is that Washington drafts a higher-profile receiver in 2027 ahead of Williams. That happens if the team perceives Williams as more of a complementary piece than a true WR1 replacement after his rookie year. The tape suggests they see him as the replacement.
The other risk is McLaurin getting extended through 2028. That seems unlikely given his age. If it happens, Williams becomes the WR3 in perpetuity. That is the downside.
The pick
If you are at 1.11 or 1.12, take Williams. If you are at 2.01 and someone offers you Williams plus a 2027 second for a 1.07, take the trade. The price moves up before camp.
The Antonio Williams price is the cleanest mispricing on the rookie board right now. Take advantage of it.