Cp
Updated May 12
NFL · Dynasty
Rookies

Sell Jadarian Price At Rookie #5 Before The Market Catches Up

Cap Penalties Staff·May 5, 2026·5 min read

Jadarian Price is going at the 1.05 in 1QB rookie drafts and the 1.06 in Superflex. He is currently ranked as our fifth overall rookie. We have him there because the talent is real, not because the situation supports it. If you own a 1.05 right now, the move is to trade him.

What Price actually is

Price is 22, 5-foot-11, 207 pounds, and ran a 4.42 at the Notre Dame pro day. He shared the Notre Dame backfield with Jeremiyah Love for the entire 2025 season and averaged 5.8 yards per carry on 174 attempts. He is a fine NFL prospect. The dynasty community is treating him like he is a Tier 1 NFL prospect because his college teammate is. He is not.

What Seattle did

Seattle drafted Price in the second round at pick 47. That is mid-second-round capital, not first-round capital. Round matters in dynasty more than scouting reports. Second-round backs hit at a much lower rate than first-round backs over the last decade of dynasty data.

The bigger issue is the depth chart. Kenneth Walker III is signed through 2027 on his second contract. Zach Charbonnet is the change-of-pace back and is entering year four with a real role in the passing game. Price is the third back in the room. He is the third back on a team that runs a heavy 11-personnel passing offense.

The math

A third running back on a pass-heavy roster gets 90 carries and 15 receptions in a typical season. That is RB48-RB55. The dynasty value on RB48 is not 1.05 money. It is 2.05 money.

The path to volume requires two things. Walker has to be off the roster (free agent in 2028) and Charbonnet has to get hurt. The first one happens. The second one is a coin flip. You are paying a first-round price for an asset whose ceiling is a 50 percent timeshare in year three.

Why the price is wrong

The market is pricing two things into Price that should not be there. First, the Notre Dame halo. Love is a star and Price is on the same tape. The brain pattern-matches them as similar prospects. They are not. Second, the second-round draft capital signal. Round two backs hit, sometimes. The hit rate at this slot is closer to 30 percent than 50.

When you correct for the Seattle depth chart and the realistic workload, Price grades out as a 1.10 or 2.01 in dynasty. He is going at 1.05. That is a four-pick markup over fair value.

The trade

Move Price for a 2026 second plus a 2027 second, or for a 1.10 plus an established WR3 like Wan'Dale Robinson. Anyone trying to move down from 1.04 to 1.05 wants Price specifically. Charge them for it.

If you cannot get a deal in May, hold until OTAs and trade him at the first sign of Seattle declaring Walker the unquestioned starter. The price drops fast once the depth chart hardens. Beat the market.

The talent is real. The situation is the bust. Sell the situation, not the player.

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